Jammu and Kashmir Assembly Elections 2024 Exit Poll: National Conference Leads, BJP Faces a Setback

Jammu and Kashmir Assembly Elections 2024 Exit Poll: National Conference Leads, BJP Faces a Setback

The exit poll results for the 2024 Jammu and Kashmir Assembly elections are in, where 90 seats were contested. According to the exit poll, the National Conference (NC) is emerging as the largest party. This prediction sends a significant message to several political parties.

Key Exit Poll Figures:

National Conference (NC): 36 seats

Indian National Congress (INC): 12 seats

Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP): 18 seats

Peoples Democratic Party (PDP): 10 seats

Awami Ittihad Party (AIP): 08 seats

Others (OTHER): 06 seats

Total seats: 90


National Conference’s Lead:
With 36 seats, the National Conference is in the lead, just short of a majority. The party’s leader, Farooq Abdullah, strongly advocated for the restoration of Jammu and Kashmir’s special status during the campaign and appealed to the public for support.

BJP’s Position:
The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is predicted to win 18 seats, a decline compared to its previous performance. While the BJP tried to maintain its stronghold in the Jammu region, it failed to garner much support in the Kashmir Valley.

Congress’s Position:
The Indian National Congress (INC) is expected to secure 12 seats in this election. The party tried to expand its influence in both Jammu and Kashmir regions but received a mixed response from voters.

PDP and Others:
The Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) is projected to win 10 seats, managing to hold its position, while the Shah Faesal-led Awami Ittihad Party (AIP) is expected to secure 8 seats. Smaller parties and independent candidates may capture 6 seats.

What Will the Government Formation Look Like?
The exit poll results suggest that no party is close to a clear majority, indicating that coalition politics will play a crucial role. A potential alliance between the National Conference and Congress could be in the cards, while the BJP will likely attempt to form alliances with its partners.

Public Reaction:
Voters in Jammu and Kashmir cast their ballots considering various issues, including the economic situation, employment opportunities, and political stability. The aftermath of Article 370's abrogation and the state's reorganization also played a significant role in the election.

It will now be interesting to see how much these exit poll predictions align with the actual results and which party will ultimately succeed in forming the next government in Jammu and Kashmir.


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